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​MLB 19 - Hot Yield Thursday: Bryce Harper is traveling gold in 2019

May-22-2019 PST
Categories:news

Right now it doesn't in actuality feel like that abundant of a hot yield admitting honestly. About it feels like he will be accustomed every befalling to abstain the drop, accustomed his cachet as one of the "faces of the game" and the awning boy, MLB 19 Stubs admitting being abundantly overrated, at atomic in as abundant as his 330 actor dollar arrangement is traveling to be a complete accountability in this apprehensive fan's opinion. Maybe not Chris Davis levels of accountability but still appealing abuse bad. On to the rationale:


To date in 2019 Harper is angry for the alliance advance in strikeouts at 57 with the Patron Saint of Dongs Sir Joseph Nicholas Gallo. Problematic for Harper; Gallo's boilerplate is 30 credibility academy and he is agitation a 1.003 OPS to Harper's .800.


Harper's Eyes is at 58 appropriate now which isn't decidedly good, but is apparently academy than it should be because his cachet as k baton and agitation a k bulk of 30% this year, acceptable for 15th in MLB and on a constant access over the endure 3 years traveling from 20.1% in 2017 to 24.3% in 2018 to 30.8% to date in 2019. For comparison, Mike Trout's eyes is 59 and his k bulk the endure 3 years are 17.8% in 2017, 20.4% in 2018, and a arch 15.7% so far in 2019.


On to his hitting ratings: Harper is currently just over the Mendoza this year adjoin appropriate handed pitchers at .204, with an ISO of .194. in 2018 he hit .250 adjoin righties with a .258 ISO. Solid adeptness endure year and hardly bigger average. 2017 is a far cry better, he ashamed righties to the tune of a .322 boilerplate and a monster .332 ISO. We can accept that 2017 buoys his ratings a bit there, about bold we bureau the endure 3 years accounting for his ratings as something like 25/25/50 for what impacts his appraisement (if you ambition to go to 2016 it's added affiliated to this years poor performance), afresh his 77 CvR and 97 PvR are in fact in band for a downgrade. Application Trout as a allegory afresh because his PvR vs righties is in actuality lower than Harper's at 95, his ISO vs righties the endure 3 years are .247, .338 and .359. Consistently bigger every alone year with an AVERAGE ISO .053 academy per year which is monstrous.


Switching to lefties, Harper this year is hitting .262 with a nice ISO of .262. 2018 .247 boilerplate and .224 ISO, and 2017 .311 with a .134 ISO. I don't yield too abundant anger with Harper's ratings vs lefties as his CvL and PvL are abundant more reasonable 67 and 71 respectively. If things accumulate up, he in actuality could be due for a slight uptick in PvL. My all-embracing cessation apropos his hitting ratings is that his lefty ratings are abundant added in band with his absolute performance while his righty ratings are appealing inflated. His righty ratings should in actuality be a lot afterpiece to his lefty ratings added than annihilation else, connected achievement at his accepted levels I anticipate will see him accepting downgraded against righties appropriately as the sample admeasurement grows.


As far as fielding goes, I anticipate his ratings are adequately on the mark. Historically Harper has been a appealing bad fielder, with both fangraphs and bbref accordant that in 2018 he was one of, if not THE affliction fielders in baseball. Oddly though, they disagree on 2019 greatly. With bbref adage that he's still not been acceptable in the field, while fangraphs seems to anticipate he's in actuality been one of the best OF in baseball. Fielding metrics about draw a lot added criticism than batting ones and there is added alterity in them.


What I anticipate appealing abundant anyone would accede with admitting is that while about Harper has been a poor or characterless at best fielder, is that in 2018 he was afflicted while potentially phoning it in for his chargeless bureau division in the outfield, and in 2019 is putting in a lot added accomplishment and it is showing. Maybe this year is added the barometer as he isn't abashed about affliction himself afore FA, maybe he's aggravating harder because he's disturbing at the plate, but either way he's been appreciably better, potentially even meriting an uptick in fielding/reaction if he continues as he has.


Speed and baserunning Harper's ratings are appealing characterless with 63 acceleration and 43 stealing. Application statcast numbers, he is hardly aloft alliance boilerplate in top dart speeds. 63 isn't decidedly fast or slow, application allusive players Harper adeptness deserve a accessory uptick in dart speed, although even admitting statcast numbers are precise, I don't necessarily anticipate they're the be-all end-all of a players speed. Either way there isn't a aloft affair there that I anticipate merits abundant consideration. Harper doesn't attack to abduct a lot of bases and his career boilerplate success bulk is appealing boilerplate as well.


So breadth does this all leave us? In my assessment Harper should apparently already be a gold based on endure division and the aboriginal 1.5 months of this year. I anticipate his name cast acceptance and now this year awning boy cachet has adequate him from downgrades that added players would acceptable accept seen. At this point I can't see SDS not giving him a decline with the next update, admitting maybe they accumulate it balmy to authority him over at 85 to buy him some time to bulk things out as I'm abiding they'd rather not move him to gold, not that it would be the end of the world. His career has been abundantly odd so far, with his batty 2015 MVP attack at this point accepting a huge outlier compared to 3 added able seasons, 3 incredibly characterless seasons, and this year which is trending abundant added to characterless than annihilation better. To date this year the alone affair he's in fact excelled at is cartoon walks, which if you construe to the bold his 109 conduct reflects that skill, while the abstract of his ratings are not at all in band with his on acreage performance, and I'm not assured he's traveling to bulk things out in the abreast approaching appropriate now.


Tl;dr: Harper should apparently already be a top gold but his name/hype has bought him a lot of leeway, about if he keeps arena like he is now admitting he will be a gold afore the allstar break.